Orlikow-Currier By-Election Maps
I’ve finally taken the time to go over the data and map from the recent city council by-election in River Heights-Fort Garry Ward between John Orlikow and Geoff Currier.
The results are stunning. The best poll for Orlikow resulted in an incredible 88.3% to 11.7% and the worst for Orlikow is equally incredible – 20.2% to 79.8%. The 68.1% gap between Orlikow’s top poll and his worst poll is unheard of. For example, in Elmwood, where the provincial by-election vote is happening tonight, the NDP received between 50% and 73%, or a 23% gap between best and worst.
But, even more amazing, the map shows an incredible story…
The red-zone was dominated by Currier 70% to 30% while the blue zone was dominated by Orlikow 74% to 26%. That is an enormous gap. And, incredibly tied to location. There isn’t a mix of the blue and red. They are miles away.
And, the other results also tell the same story. Here are four maps showing a North-South pattern all the way:
Find The Pattern
There is such a strong North-South pattern here. Travelling North to South, we go from historic blowout for Orlikow to historic blowout for Currier. And, layered very neatly in between are all the other levels of support. This is a very well-ordered transition.
And, I am at a loss as to how to explain the North-South transition. Is it related to age of the neighborhood, like other un-expected things such as nutrition? Is there a correlation between density and support? Proximity to rivers? Is this pattern related to quality of public transportation (I note that I have visited Linden Woods by bus before and wouldn’t wish that ride on my worst enemy)?
I invite others to tell the North-South story. Currier would have us believe that the North is full of socialists. But, surely there is an explanation that isn’t juvenile. Can anyone explain this?
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