Donald Street Calls The Election For Obama

I just wanted to beat the networks to it. Look at the current polling numbers. One of the candidates is far ahead in 37 states and the District of Columbia. Those total up to 129 secure Electoral Votes for McCain and 264 secure EVs for Obama. The remaining 13 states are worth 145 EVs.

For Obama to win, he needs 6 out of those 145. McCain needs 141 of 145. McCain can only loose one of the smallest (North Dakota, South Dakota, or Montana) swing states each worth 3 EVs, but otherwise must win Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia, Ohio, Indiana, Missouri, Colorado, Arizona, Nevada, two of the three small states. McCain is not about to win 12 close contests, some of which are leaning Obama by margins of up to 6.9%!

Game over.

Advertisements

One response to “Donald Street Calls The Election For Obama

  1. And for those interested, a tie would be broken by the newly-elected Congress. So, if Obama only wins the states he currently strongly holds plus Nevada and McCain wins the other 12 close states, Obama still wins because congress is going to be overwhelmingly Democrat.

    But, a tie sure would make for interesting theatre.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s