Breaking News on the Election Prediction Front

This just in…

A recount has resulted in a redistribution of the ridings.  This means my little election prediction project has undergone a significant* change, whereby I have now been declared the preliminary victor, pending the outcome of two more count-offs.

  Conservatives Liberals Bloc NDP Green Ind/Oth VARIANCE RANK
OUTCOME 143 77 49 37 0 2 0
Rob 134 84 49 39 1 1 20 1
Mike 153 70 48 34 1 2 22 2
Mike* 133 84 53 35 1 2 24 3
Lorelei* 127 95 48 36 1 1 38 4
Katherine 130 95 48 31 1 3 40 5
Janine* 128 96 48 31 3 2 44 6
Daniel 130 93 38 45 0 2 48 7
Melissa* 121 104 46 32 2 3 60 8
Maria 116 107 49 33 1 2 62 9
Marc* 122 106 45 31 2 2 62 9
Evan 120 110 40 35 1 2 68 11
                 
Ekos 136 84 51 35 0 2 18 1
Barry Kay 135 87 51 33 0 2 24 2
Andrew Coyne 133 88 51 34 0 2 26 3
UBC Stock Market 131 89 47 39 0 2 28 4
David Akin 128 84 50 43 1 2 30 5
Democratic Space 128 92 52 34 0 2 36 6
Kady O’Malley 129 91 53 33 0 2 36 6
electionprediction.org 125 94 51 36 0 2 38 8
Scott Reid 124 82 58 43 0 1 40 9
Andrew Steele 121 90 50 44 0 3 44 10
Our Average 130 87 52 37 0 2 44 10
* Significant is defined as meaningful to the author for the following reasons:  a) I’m now in first place; b) My BQ prediction is exactly correct, which means I was the best predictor on three of the four/five major parties; c) “Our Average” has been raised from last place to tied for last place – awesome.
-robondon
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