No. Rural Manitoba has us beat.
Don’t believe CBC’s story, the real murder capital is found in rural Manitoba. At 5.22 deaths per 100,000 (i.e. 62 killings) in Manitoba, we are nearly at double the second worst province, Saskatchewan, and triple the national average! But, Winnipeg had a rate of 3.55 per 100,000 people. So, what does this say about the rural rate?
Note first, at 26 in Winnipeg in 2007 and 62 in Manitoba, that means Stats Can is using population numbers for Winnipg and Manitoba as 732,394 and 1,187,739, respectively. This does not match the population numbers from the 2006 census for Winnipeg, and this is even 30,000 more than the CMA. So, I’m not sure where the exact figures are coming from. But I will use the implied population numbers to make a conclusion.
Outside of Winnipeg, Manitoba’s homicide rate is 7.91 murders per 100,000 people. That’s more than double Winnipeg’s rate. That’s nearly 4 and a half times the national average. That’s about 4 times the homicide rate in Toronto.
Does anyone have a breakdown of these stats for rural Manitoba? This seems an incredible homicide rate – dealing with rural murders in Manitoba should be a priority for the government. Anyone have a link to any real plan of action? Is there any explanation for this sharp contrast? Any criminologists out there with an explanation?