“Impressions of the Leaders…
“Subtracting worsened impressions from improved impressions, opinions of Elizabeth May improved (net +49) the most as a result of the debate, while Jack Layton (net +28) also fared well. Stephane Dion (net +11) also had a solid debate, while Gilles Duceppe (+6) also came out ahead. The only party leader to have overall impressions worsen was Stephen Harper (net -10), despite the fact that more viewers thought he won the debate than another leader.”
And one more:
“Effect of Debate on Vote…
“Overall, the effect of this debate on voters’ intentions is mild. Nearly two in ten (15%) English-speaking Canadians who watched the debate say that they have changed their mind about who to vote for on October 14th as a result of viewing the debate.
“Among those who changed their vote, 37% say they would now vote NDP, 26% say they would now Liberal, 25% say they would now vote Green, and 9% say they would now vote Conservative.”
Let’s do the math. 25% of the 15% of opinion changers is 3.75% of English voters who’s vote has switched to Green. If this is accurate (and it may not be so), then May attracted nearly as many new votes in the debate as the Greens received in the last election (4.5%), among debate watchers. She didn’t “win”, but she likely accomplished as much as could have been expected.
UPDATE: The right-wingers at Macleans seem to agree that May did well.