The Ekos poll from September 19th is interesting because it tracks second choices. What strikes me is how tight the race is if you add the first and second choices.
|Party||First Choice||Second Choice||Total|
What this table shows is that if the Conservatives have an amazing campaign from here on out, they can increase their vote total by about a quarter to a third. On the other hand, the NDP and Greens could both double their totals with a solid campaign, the Liberals could add two thirds, the BQ 50%. So, it seems like its the Conservatives’ Election to loose.
Will one of the parties finally step up and deliver a message that is going to move the polls?